Why Democrats Will Keep the House and Senate

Andy Ostroy
2 min readNov 8, 2022

Conventional wisdom suggests President Joe Biden and Democrats will lose control of at least one chamber of Congress in this week’s midterm elections. But everything politically these past seven years has utterly defied conventional wisdom.

In 2020 Biden received 7-million more votes than Donald Trump. His victory was bolstered by an incalculable degree of moderate Republican and independent support. These Never Trumpers and swing voters also helped deliver Democrats the House and Senate while flipping Georgia and Arizona blue.

The reason? They were exhausted by the non-stop chaos of Trump and his cabal of sycophants. Fed up with the pathological lying, incivility, toxicity, cruelty, divisiveness, inhumanity and danger of the most unqualified, incompetent, corrupt, treasonous president and the congressional cultists who defended, protected and empowered him.

This stunning coalition included suburban women, men, blacks, Hispanics, Asians, white college-educated, white non-college, middle/working class, young folks and seniors. The disdain for Trump was universal. They summarily rejected him and refused to give control of Congress to the party that so grossly abdicated its oversight responsibility in shamelessly dropping its drawers for a dangerous, democracy-raping, dictator-wannabe sociopath.

The abandonment of Trump and the GOP came before the Big Lie. Before the deadly insurrection. Before the party’s bizarre support for Russia and it’s murderous dictator Vladimir Putin over Ukraine and its heroic president Volodymyr Zelensky. Before immigrants were packed onto buses and cruelly used as political pawns. Before the subsequent two years of undying fealty to Trump. Before the overturning of Roe v Wade…and the outrageous hypocrisy in defending Herschel Walker. Before the inhumane jokes about an 82-year-old man getting his skull smashed in with a hammer.

So on what logical, rationale basis would voters in 2020 who screamed “ENOUGH! with Trump, Trumpism and the GOP suddenly find themselves returning to the dark side, especially given how much more toxic and broken America appears because of the non-stop anger, hatred, cruelty, corruption, conspiracy-spreading, election-denying and treason perpetrated by the GOP and its MAGA extremists?

In 2022 Trump is much worse. The GOP is much worse. The overall political landscape is much worse. Women have lost control over their bodies. People have been beaten and have died because of the dangerous, violence-inciting rhetoric and actions of Trump and the GOP. The threats to our democracy are much worse. America is on the verge of autocracy. Swing voters are more fed up, more exhausted, more fearful now and in no way going to inexplicably reverse course and give Republicans control of Congress.

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Andy Ostroy

Director, producer, podcaster, writer, resistor, non-profit-supporter of women filmmakers